How a negative PCR test can serve as a marker for systemic inflammation and spike protein toxicity, creating a widely exploited statistical anomaly to make misleading claims about hospitalization.
Thanks Chris, I've been following your work since 2008. You're an inspiration. May I suggest that anyone fragile enough to die from the vaccine has already been removed from the potential pool of people to die from COVID and this gives an artificial reduction in deaths. Similar to your hypothesis in 2010 for The China Study, you don't die from COVID if you're already dead. Since a death less than 14 days after vaccination is counted as "unvaccinated" this data is hidden from the public. Providing the false appearance that the vaccine reduces mortality.
One wonders why the trials weren't populated with enough numbers to be able to show high confidence numbers. The all-cause mortality numbers showed a 0.5 p-value, which means that it's a coin toss whether the vaccines contributed to increased all-cause mortality. If there had been double the numbers of enrollees, there would be enough to show whether the increased deaths in the vaccine arm were due to random variation or to increased vaccine risk. Of course, pharma has statisticians to figure stuff like that out when the number of participants for a study is being decided.
There was some funny business with the trial pointed out by Peter Doshi about some large number of people being excluded from the trial ex post facto. This might have had a major impact on all-cause mortality numbers.
Ditto that. I've also been following Masterjohn's work from off the same length of time, and have been saying since March 2020 that excess death from all causes is a critical metric, although it's greatly skewed by unintended deaths from anticovid protocols. So I've also been trying to track "pneumonia and flu-like illness,"but I've only ever found good data on that from the UK. The US is horrifically non-transparent.
"CDC is currently defining suspect vaccine breakthrough cases as a U.S. resident who has SARS-CoV-2 RNA or antigen detected on a respiratory specimen collected ≥ 14 days after completing the full series of an FDA-authorized SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (e.g., two doses of the Moderna or Pfizer vaccine, one dose of Johnson and Johnson vaccine)."
There is no "breakthrough" tracking for any sort of partially vaccinated group by the CDC. The partially vaccinated numbers are lumped in with the unvaccinated in every case which I have seen.
Post-vaccination deaths are a subset of the post-vaccination cases. Specifically, these are COVID-19-related deaths among individuals who became a confirmed or probable case of COVID-19 more than 14 days after they had completed their full one-dose or two-dose COVID-19 vaccination series.”
Great and in depth article Chris. It amazes me that the BMJ picked up the covid-like illnesses right at the beginning in the Pfizer trial, but like so many things it didn't get the attention it deserved. Good to see you on Substack!
Very nice article Chris. It actually answers the question that I asked myself, when I wrote an article based on CDC MMWR study from October, written in October:
Excellent. "COVID-like illness" is a good term because it takes the nonsensical test (and indeed the nonsensical term COVID-19 itself) out of the equation and looks at actual symptoms instead.
This is such amazing work, and I haven't quite gotten to the end of it yet, but may I make a suggestion? In the sections where you analyze the fading efficacy against testing positive in Finland, New York, Israel, etc., consider contrasting it against "hospitalized positive tests" or "positive test hospitalizations" instead of "hospitalizations," just to remain consistent with the rest of the article, and its thesis that actual hospitalizations aren't reduced, but rather, only PCR-positive hospitalizations.
I'm sending you money to support this research. I think it would be very helpful for someone to create a graphic that looks like the ones hospitals were releasing all summer. But instead of having little people graphics representing, say, 10 hospitalized vaccinated people and 90 hospitalized unvaccinated people, all with covid, It will also have 90 hospitalized vaccinated people with covid-like illness who tested negative. And it needs to go viral. You need to send it, and this article, to all the usual juice skeptics with large audiences, but also to Matt Walsh, who can put it directly in front of Ben Shapiro, who is a huge juice fan, but is also very open to evidence. If you can get Shapiro talking about this, you've got an audience of millions, a large percentage of whom actually did get the juice.
I highly recommend interviewing ER doctors about this. I personally know one who would almost certainly be interested in talking to you, if you contact me. If your theory is correct, they should have been seeing juiced covid like illness in substantial numbers that coincided with each surge in the unfused over the past 12 months.
Dope. CMJ brings to us the possible truths that the authodox does not want us to know or understand. Light and power from insight and truth seeking. Brilliant as ever.
I can only contribute with my own personal experience of the five close members of my family who all met up for a long three day weekend recently. We shared a cottage, meals, pubs and restuarants, even a car: so plenty of chances to get infected.
Both of the 3x vaccinated - who happen to be the younger, fitter people in the family - 32 and 31 years old - subsequently tested positive and became unwell: the other three of us (two older aged 68 and 70, and one immuno-compromised disabled adult aged 27) are unvaxxed and tested negative for the following week: we are fine.
Sorry this doesnt fit the above narrative!
However,to be even handed, it is possible that the three of us were exposed to Covid in late 2019 and became infected then: in which case we may well carry antibodies.
Previous exposure to COVID generates mucosal IgA that protects both from a test and from symptoms. I’m guessing the boosters actually make omicron clinically worse, so omicron is a confounded as well.
mutiple tests were consistent across all five of us: the positives kept testing positive, the negatives kept testing negative: for a full week. So at least the tests were consistent, not random.
Sure. But they are random in the sense that no one has ever shown that they correlate with an infection or a disease. The test helps nothing in deciding on a treatment either. I'm not meaning to lecture, it's just a part of the whole scam that needs to be understood. Greetings
I regret that it took so long for me to find this excellent article. It's a rare privilege to read such a balanced, thorough and thoughtful analysis. Thank you.
It was very difficult for me to read this. I have used PCR testing in environmental research since 2001. PCR was never designed to be used as a primary analytical tool to detect disease. It may confirm an infection in someone that already has symptoms. Also, the cycle thresholds used can force false positive or false negative. Both Covid-19 and the mRNA jabs are bioweapons via the "Spike Protein." Wake up people, the next wave of Covid will be designed to kill the vaccinated. So the more jabs you take the more you loose your immune system.
This is potentially the most important article I have read on the covid vaccines. Thanks a lot, Chris! I became a paid subscriber to your Substack.
Thanks Chris, I've been following your work since 2008. You're an inspiration. May I suggest that anyone fragile enough to die from the vaccine has already been removed from the potential pool of people to die from COVID and this gives an artificial reduction in deaths. Similar to your hypothesis in 2010 for The China Study, you don't die from COVID if you're already dead. Since a death less than 14 days after vaccination is counted as "unvaccinated" this data is hidden from the public. Providing the false appearance that the vaccine reduces mortality.
This is why we need all-cause mortality!
For all-cause mortality, please check out my latest project: https://www.mortality.watch
One wonders why the trials weren't populated with enough numbers to be able to show high confidence numbers. The all-cause mortality numbers showed a 0.5 p-value, which means that it's a coin toss whether the vaccines contributed to increased all-cause mortality. If there had been double the numbers of enrollees, there would be enough to show whether the increased deaths in the vaccine arm were due to random variation or to increased vaccine risk. Of course, pharma has statisticians to figure stuff like that out when the number of participants for a study is being decided.
There was some funny business with the trial pointed out by Peter Doshi about some large number of people being excluded from the trial ex post facto. This might have had a major impact on all-cause mortality numbers.
Ditto that. I've also been following Masterjohn's work from off the same length of time, and have been saying since March 2020 that excess death from all causes is a critical metric, although it's greatly skewed by unintended deaths from anticovid protocols. So I've also been trying to track "pneumonia and flu-like illness,"but I've only ever found good data on that from the UK. The US is horrifically non-transparent.
Your statement "Since a death less than 14 days after vaccination is counted as "unvaccinated"" is incorrect.
Show me where the CDC does any numeric comparisons except between fully vaccinated and the rest.
The following site was linked by a CDC site...
https://www.aphl.org/programs/preparedness/Crisis-Management/Documents/NS3-Submission-Guidance.pdf
"CDC is currently defining suspect vaccine breakthrough cases as a U.S. resident who has SARS-CoV-2 RNA or antigen detected on a respiratory specimen collected ≥ 14 days after completing the full series of an FDA-authorized SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (e.g., two doses of the Moderna or Pfizer vaccine, one dose of Johnson and Johnson vaccine)."
There is no "breakthrough" tracking for any sort of partially vaccinated group by the CDC. The partially vaccinated numbers are lumped in with the unvaccinated in every case which I have seen.
Find the black swan to disprove my hypothesis.
“What Is a Post-Vaccination COVID-19 Death?
Post-vaccination deaths are a subset of the post-vaccination cases. Specifically, these are COVID-19-related deaths among individuals who became a confirmed or probable case of COVID-19 more than 14 days after they had completed their full one-dose or two-dose COVID-19 vaccination series.”
https://www.health.pa.gov/topics/disease/coronavirus/Pages/Post-Vaccination-Data.aspx
Please explain, based on your personal experience, the process of determining vaccination status during admission to hospital.
Great and in depth article Chris. It amazes me that the BMJ picked up the covid-like illnesses right at the beginning in the Pfizer trial, but like so many things it didn't get the attention it deserved. Good to see you on Substack!
A new section, "What Is PCR-Negative COVID-Like Illness?" with a new infographic has been added.
Thank you for helping us navigate such a confusing time. We sincerely appreciate your efforts!!!
Very nice article Chris. It actually answers the question that I asked myself, when I wrote an article based on CDC MMWR study from October, written in October:
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/shocking-antivax-numbers-from-the?utm_source=url
My question was why are the vaccinated having so much CLI that is not covid?
And I think that your answer is on the right track.
Excellent. "COVID-like illness" is a good term because it takes the nonsensical test (and indeed the nonsensical term COVID-19 itself) out of the equation and looks at actual symptoms instead.
This is such amazing work, and I haven't quite gotten to the end of it yet, but may I make a suggestion? In the sections where you analyze the fading efficacy against testing positive in Finland, New York, Israel, etc., consider contrasting it against "hospitalized positive tests" or "positive test hospitalizations" instead of "hospitalizations," just to remain consistent with the rest of the article, and its thesis that actual hospitalizations aren't reduced, but rather, only PCR-positive hospitalizations.
That’s a good point.
I'm sending you money to support this research. I think it would be very helpful for someone to create a graphic that looks like the ones hospitals were releasing all summer. But instead of having little people graphics representing, say, 10 hospitalized vaccinated people and 90 hospitalized unvaccinated people, all with covid, It will also have 90 hospitalized vaccinated people with covid-like illness who tested negative. And it needs to go viral. You need to send it, and this article, to all the usual juice skeptics with large audiences, but also to Matt Walsh, who can put it directly in front of Ben Shapiro, who is a huge juice fan, but is also very open to evidence. If you can get Shapiro talking about this, you've got an audience of millions, a large percentage of whom actually did get the juice.
I highly recommend interviewing ER doctors about this. I personally know one who would almost certainly be interested in talking to you, if you contact me. If your theory is correct, they should have been seeing juiced covid like illness in substantial numbers that coincided with each surge in the unfused over the past 12 months.
Dope. CMJ brings to us the possible truths that the authodox does not want us to know or understand. Light and power from insight and truth seeking. Brilliant as ever.
I can only contribute with my own personal experience of the five close members of my family who all met up for a long three day weekend recently. We shared a cottage, meals, pubs and restuarants, even a car: so plenty of chances to get infected.
Both of the 3x vaccinated - who happen to be the younger, fitter people in the family - 32 and 31 years old - subsequently tested positive and became unwell: the other three of us (two older aged 68 and 70, and one immuno-compromised disabled adult aged 27) are unvaxxed and tested negative for the following week: we are fine.
Sorry this doesnt fit the above narrative!
However,to be even handed, it is possible that the three of us were exposed to Covid in late 2019 and became infected then: in which case we may well carry antibodies.
Previous exposure to COVID generates mucosal IgA that protects both from a test and from symptoms. I’m guessing the boosters actually make omicron clinically worse, so omicron is a confounded as well.
The test is generally erratic and not even validated against disease. It really doesn't mean anything at all to be "PCR positive" or "PCR negative".
It clearly indicates something. If it were random noise it would not correlate with anything.
lateral flow tests here anyway, not PCR: I don't know if that makes much difference.
Why would it indicate anything? It's never been validated against a disease.
mutiple tests were consistent across all five of us: the positives kept testing positive, the negatives kept testing negative: for a full week. So at least the tests were consistent, not random.
Sure. But they are random in the sense that no one has ever shown that they correlate with an infection or a disease. The test helps nothing in deciding on a treatment either. I'm not meaning to lecture, it's just a part of the whole scam that needs to be understood. Greetings
PCR positive indicates exposure to the virus. PCR negative correlates slightly with no exposure.
There is no virus.
Also, PCR tests can be - and are - run with different ct values. By selecting this value you can make it negative or positive at will.
Thank you Chris for all your efforts in education about the virus/vaccine predicament.
Thank you for writing this important piece. I hope many people read it.
I regret that it took so long for me to find this excellent article. It's a rare privilege to read such a balanced, thorough and thoughtful analysis. Thank you.
It was very difficult for me to read this. I have used PCR testing in environmental research since 2001. PCR was never designed to be used as a primary analytical tool to detect disease. It may confirm an infection in someone that already has symptoms. Also, the cycle thresholds used can force false positive or false negative. Both Covid-19 and the mRNA jabs are bioweapons via the "Spike Protein." Wake up people, the next wave of Covid will be designed to kill the vaccinated. So the more jabs you take the more you loose your immune system.
Why is this not all over the news? Oh yeah, Big Pharma owns them. Excellent article.